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What is climate change?
Climate change is common in the geologic
history of the Earth; climatologists have documented many periods of
climate change, some of which have occurred very rapidly. In today's
world, scientists are concerned about climate change because if it
happens too quickly, several dangerous situations could arise:
- If the Earth warms rapidly, partial melting
of polar ice could cause sea levels to rise, partially submerging many
major cities and leaving others more susceptible to flooding during storms. Since most of
the world's population lives only a couple of meters above sea level,
this could create a hazardous situation for billions of people.
- Increasing temperatures will likely
alter the relatively stable patterns of circulation in our atmosphere.
This will change weather patterns dramatically in many areas. Since
agriculture is dependent on certain weather patterns, such changes
could significantly reduce food production in the face of a large and
rapidly growing global population. Some regions will likely experience
increases in the number and duration of drought
events, threatening both agriculture and drinking water supplies.
- With an increase in the average global
temperature, it appears that both the number and intensity of storms is
increasing in some regions of the world. However, even if this did not
occur, the shifting of weather patterns will likely result in more
natural hazards simply because many locations will experience unusual
weather. For example, a location that is usually dry may begin to
receive a lot of rain, resulting in flash flooding.
- Species extinctions are expected to
increase markedly as global temperatures increase. Species extinctions
are currently at one of the highest rates in geologic history, mostly
due to habitat loss caused by a variety of human activities. Combined
with global warming, the extinction rate could be catastrophic. Since
humans depend on countless species for our food, water, and medicines,
the results could have dire implications for a rapidly growing global
population.
Hundreds of scientific studies have shown that
global warming is mostly caused by increases in greenhouse gases from
human activities. These activities include the burning of forests and
other vegetation, the burning of fossil fuels (such as oil) for
transportation, and the burning of fossil fuels (such as coal) for
energy production.
Currently, many different types of
observations indicate that average temperatures at many locations
around the world are increasing:
- As of 2009, carbon dioxide levels are
higher than they have ever been for over half of a million years.
- Most glaciers around the world are rapidly
retreating, from Africa to Alaska.
- Sea ice cover has decreased substantially
in the Arctic Ocean.
- Migratory bird nesting and breeding
patterns have shifted dramatically.
- Lakes are freezing later in the winter and
thawing earlier in the spring around the world.
- More record high temperatures have been
recorded in the last decade than any other time in history.
- Weather stations have recorded significant
increases in average annual temperatures at several locations around
the world.
- Hurricane intensity appears to be
increasing in the Atlantic Ocean, possibly the result of the
availability of additional heat energy.
- Permafrost in the northern tundra regions
is melting.
- The length of heat waves in Europe has
doubled in the last century.
Where is climate change
occurring?
Most warming is currently occurring in the Arctic, where temperatures
have increased by as much as 11 degrees F over a period of several
decades. However, all regions of the planet are at risk from the
hazards produced by climate change. The amount of risk at any location
will depend on the nature of the changes in weather patterns and the
characteristics of the local environment. It should be noted that
"global warming" is not likely to be global, at least at first. That
is, the average temperature of the Earth may increase, but some
locations may initially experience cooling. With regard to natural
hazards, climate change (warming or cooling) is the
issue of greatest importance, and it is usually most important at
regional and local scales.
When is climate change a
hazard?
Evidence from several geologic investigations shows that climate change
can be gradual, occurring slowly over a period of thousands of years,
or rapid, shifting dramatically in time periods as short as ten years.
In the next century, all seasons are likely to experience some increase
in both the number and severity of natural hazards as global
temperatures rise.
How do we cope with climate change?
Human activities are greatly accelerating natural climate change. In
this case, preventive medicine is the best kind of medicine; curbing
the activities that are likely contributing the most to climate change,
such as fossil fuel burning, may eventually decrease the rate and
extent of climate change. Implementing renewable energy sources, such
as solar and wind, and high-efficiency automobiles (such as the Honda
Civic and Toyota Prius) are important steps towards reducing fossil
fuel emissions. Building cities that emphasize walking, biking, and
mass transportation can reduce fuel consumption and improve physical
health. These steps also work toward improving the quality of the air
that we breathe and decreasing our dependency on fossil fuels, which
are non-renewable resources with dwindling supplies. In other words,
addressing the cause of climate change also works to solve several of
the other environmental and economic problems our societies face today.
Unlike most other natural hazards, climate change is a relatively slow
hazard in our lives. This allows for some preparation, but it can also
create complacency.
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